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Cat 5 (back to Cat 4) Hurricane Matthew

 
Chrissy 2016-09-25 14:56:27 

T&T, Bim di Windwards and then Yard folks


Now Cat3

 
Chrissy 2016-09-25 15:10:04 

From NOAA


1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area about
1500 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands are showing some
signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward Islands,the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

 
Larr Pullo 2016-09-26 02:03:54 

Guyana is NOT in the Caribbean!!!

 
shivnotout 2016-09-26 03:18:14 

In reply to Larr Pullo

tell sha again. lol

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 05:07:07 

In reply to Larr Pullo

Neither is Barbados nor Trinidad.(Correct Toney)

Please read what di man wrote

Interests in the Windward Islands,the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this system.

Yuh know what as well as means?

 
Drapsey 2016-09-26 06:44:07 

In reply to Larr Pullo

Guyana is NOT in the Caribbean!!!

No wonder the muddies are not represented on the WI limited overs team.

 
Toney 2016-09-26 07:27:32 

In reply to Chrissy

Neither is Barbados nor Trinidad !

Could have fooled me. wink

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 11:30:45 

In reply to Toney

lol lol

Both are in di Atlantic

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 11:37:42 

Tropical Storm Matthew will impact Windward islands early Thursday

 
sunfish 2016-09-26 14:09:15 

I'm betting this will veer North by Wed because they usually do. This means impact should occur around Northern Windwards or Southern Leewards..

 
imusic 2016-09-26 14:32:34 

In reply to Larr Pullo

Guyana is NOT in the Caribbean!!!


Pay attention
Caribbean people from Guyana


She never said it was

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 15:54:26 

In reply to imusic

All I saying is allyuh pay attention

 
Runs 2016-09-26 16:00:56 

In reply to imusic

Forgot the comma after Caribbean cool

 
Narper 2016-09-26 16:41:37 

“Armchair meteorologists” on social media have to stop spreading panic, because Trinidad and Tobago is not under any tropical storm, tropical depression, or tropical cyclone watch or warning.

This is the word from chief meteorologist at the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (Met Office) Shakeer Baig, and chief executive officer (CEO) at the Office of Disaster Preparedness and Management (ODPM) Dr Stephen Ramroop.


A storm is NOT coming

“by Wednesday morning the predication models are saying that it should pass near to Barbados. There is a large area of cloudiness and some of the clouds will move towards Trinidad and Tobago and the southern Caribbean. So if it develops further or not we will see cloudiness and showers and possibly some gusty winds” he said.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 19:10:38 

In reply to Narper

Dr. Jeff Masters and NHC are by no means arm chair met folks.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-26 21:06:45 

From NOAA

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 700 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph.
Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the
northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
system. Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong gusty
winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are expected to spread over
the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles
beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Tuesday
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

 
Chrissy 2016-09-27 09:47:04 

From NOAA

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 51W from 17N southward.
A 1008 mb low pressure center is along the wave near 11N.
Convective precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated
strong from 11N to 17N between 48W and 55W. The precipitation
pattern continues to become more organized. It is likely that a
tropical depression or a tropical storm may form later today if
this weather system continues to become more organized. The
forecast movement is to the WNW-to-W about 20 mph. Please
monitor the progress of this weather system if you have any
interests that are in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea,
including the northern coast of South America. Heavy rains and
strong gusty winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are
expected to spread across the Windward Islands and sections of
the southern Lesser Antilles beginning tonight and continuing
into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
The chance of formation during the next 48 hours is high. Gale
wind conditions are forecast in 24 hours, within 120 NM N
semicircle of a 1006 mb low pressure center near 13N57W, and sea
heights are forecast to range from 10 feet to 13 feet. Please
refer to the HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC for more
details.


Graphic

 
Tagwa1 2016-09-27 16:22:35 

In reply to Chrissy

Could be a Cat 1 by Thursday but already starting to slant north. Southern Windwards looking safe...ish.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-27 18:18:16 

In reply to Tagwa1

Yep

 
Chrissy 2016-09-28 10:57:43 

In reply to Tagwa1

Going west again - now Tropical Storm Matthew

 
Chrissy 2016-09-28 11:16:39 

In reply to Tagwa1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1100 AM AST WED SEP 28 2016

...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORMS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 60.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ENE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

 
jen 2016-09-28 21:06:13 

Folks, I been saying this for a while now. Them tropical wave, depression and storm causing more damage lately because from what I've seen, they've been dumping far more rain than hurricanes. Right now, vincy done under the gun because is rain none stop for the last 5 hours.

Rivers threatening to overflow again like it did on that christmas even night in 2013. One death already claimed with a stone breaking away and rolling over a teenage boy. Land slides done happening all ready. The winds is the least of our problems. Vincy soil too soft, it can't tek persistent rain. When it rains in vincy, it does pour!!

The southern windwards naw safe at all!! The Grenadines islands will be alright because all roads lead back to the sea and the soil is like cliff. Some places if yo find ah foot ah top soil yo do good.
lol lol lol

EDIT: Vincy on lock down tomorrow and no school for the rest of the week.

 
jen 2016-09-28 22:09:37 

The winds howling in now, lort.

 
natty_forever 2016-09-29 10:35:31 

In reply to jen

One death already claimed with a stone breaking away and rolling over a teenage boy.


sad

 
Slipfeeler 2016-09-29 12:49:37 

In reply to jen

Reports from St. Vincent that one secondary school boy lost his life due to storm-related movement of a boulder at his home.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-29 17:12:12 

In reply to Chrissy

Good call bro

 
Chrissy 2016-09-29 17:14:34 

I've been watching some of the damage - real glad so few folks were killed.

Look at the size of this system - leff those who want to ignore serious weather.

 
dale_staple 2016-09-29 18:12:44 

In reply to Chrissy

993 mb pressure already!!!

 
jen 2016-09-29 19:08:52 

In reply to Chrissy

Couldn't believe when i Saw on satellite how much ground that storm was covering, geez. The thing been covering from bim down to grenada and way up in the north, for hours satellite had a big patch of purple and white. That was one intense storm, from my calculations, it rained for about 10 hours none stop last night.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-29 21:02:04 

In reply to jen

I was on the phone with my folks in Bim last night and they could barely hear me - rain fell from Puerto Rico to T&T.

Leff di eediots. I will always post storm warnings because life is all we've got. Who vex loss!

 
Chrissy 2016-09-29 21:58:35 

In reply to jen

Massive Matthew

 
dale_staple 2016-09-29 22:10:53 

this looks like it could be category three before it hits Ja.

 
seaegg99 2016-09-29 22:53:49 

In reply to Chrissy

That is massive. Covers a whole lot of ground.

 
archangel 2016-09-30 05:06:56 

When it reaches the ridge it is expected to go north. Could go to the east of Jamaica. That is the best case scenario. That still is going to bring a lot of rain.

 
mikesiva 2016-09-30 05:27:00 

In reply to archangel

Met Office warning for Jamaica

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 06:03:24 

Oh skites dem saying Cat3 Monday - Jamaica.

 
dale_staple 2016-09-30 06:45:10 

In reply to Chrissy

Yes Lord! I told u it was gonna hit Category 3! This is a huge hurricane to boot. This is a major disaster about to go down of Ivan like proportions. I just pray it does not make landfall as that could be even worse.

 
pelon 2016-09-30 08:02:14 

MATTHEW CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA.

Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Matthew
could become a major hurricane later today or tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).
- 8AM

 
mikesiva 2016-09-30 10:18:30 

In reply to pelon

It is this year's fifth Atlantic hurricane, but it looks set to become the most damaging so far.

Hurricane Matthew, the 13th named storm of the season, is likely to strengthen as it approaches Jamaica, Cuba and Haiti.

As of Friday morning, the storm was located about 220km to the north of Curacao. A tropical storm watch is in force for the so-called "ABC islands" (Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao) located in the southern Caribbean.

Matthew is not expected to make landfall in South America, but its large circulation has prompted some concerns around the coastal fringes of Colombia and Venezuela.

Matthew is currently packing winds of around 160 kilometres an hour, making it a Category 2 storm. Strengthening is forecast throughout the weekend and the system is likely to be upgraded to a Category 3 within the next 48 hours.

Matthew left one person dead in St Vincent on its passage into the Caribbean. The hurricane now poses a threat to the Greater Antilles.

More here

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 10:49:20 

In reply to dale_staple

Bro Cat3 is Gilbert not Ivan. Ivan missed us.

My real worry is dat Palisadoes Road, Port Royal, Harbour View and Portmore. South, South-East and North East gwin tek a real lick.

 
pelon 2016-09-30 14:13:44 

In reply to Chrissy

This thing is looking ferocious. LINK IMG

Please do everything to protect yourself if you are in JA. A direct hit could be devastation. DO NOT underestimate this system.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 14:19:03 

In reply to pelon

Damn. This is serious.

 
Runs 2016-09-30 14:23:36 

Chance to hit US East Coast later on next week, forecasters did say 1 major hurricane will hit US mainland this season. I shall go stock up on food, water and essentials, my gut feeling on this is not good. Be safe brethren and sistren where ever ye may be.

 
Headley 2016-09-30 14:27:10 

In reply to mikesiva

At 13.6N 71.3W the next 12 - 24 hours will determine whether it will hit Ja directly or give Ja a glancing blow. If it does not turn north sharply in the next 12 hours it will be the latter.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 14:59:07 

In reply to Runs

My folks say Eastern seaboard

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 14:59:28 

In reply to Headley

I'd settle fi dat lol

 
gvenkat 2016-09-30 15:12:29 

In reply to Chrissy

Stay safe Chrissy.. I hope this don't come the FL way..

 
Tryangle 2016-09-30 15:21:25 

Stay safe everyone. If that storm makes it into the Atlantic, who knows

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 15:29:47 

In reply to gvenkat

Thanks.
Should miss Florida - not sure about the Carolinas

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 16:51:24 

Matthew has slowed down to blow wow!

Now Cat4

 
Ewart 2016-09-30 16:56:11 

In reply to Chrissy

I don't think that is good news...



//

 
dale_staple 2016-09-30 16:58:47 

In reply to Chrissy

The satellite photos show this thing getting stronger. Thankfully we are on its weaker side otherwise we would be doomed.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 17:08:38 

In reply to dale_staple

We're on the worst side bro - the northern quadrant - this is going to mash up St Thomas, Portland, St Mary, Harbour View, di Palisadoes strip, Port Royal, Kingston & St Andrew, Portmore and right through to the other side. Nuff nuff homes going down wid dis one.

Jamaica is about to get a rhatid lick.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 17:08:56 

In reply to Ewart

Bro dis is frightening news.

 
bimbo 2016-09-30 17:17:41 

Rass..i am nervous now.
When Ivan hit us here in St Bess it made Gilbert look like boy.

This looks scary.

 
dale_staple 2016-09-30 18:12:06 

In reply to Chrissy

This will be worse than gilbert and ivan.

 
DAVE400 2016-09-30 18:17:24 

In reply to dale_staple

shock

I cannot conceive worse than Ivan

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 18:31:25 

Stay safe my yardie people.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 18:33:07 

I've been through a Cat 5 - Hurricane David. No one wants to go through that. It can throw you back to the dark ages.

 
pelon 2016-09-30 18:33:23 

The only glimmer of hope now would be that the system continues on a western track for another 16 hrs - bypassing JA or at least just west of JA.

At this stage, it is a direct hit

Please, look out for the elderly within your neighborhoods. Secure your property, then seek to offer assistance to those less capable.

NOW (for the 10th time):

* Double check batteries, water supplies, canned goods and most important your first aid kit.
* Gather all important documents and place them in zip lock freezer bags - then store in a safe place.
* Take your smartphone and capture images of your property and contents for small or major insurance claims.

Peps, it is serious.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 18:36:55 

In reply to dale_staple

Well given what happened in Colombia and they are so far from the main storm, I have to agree. I'm hearing 8 - 24 inches of rain which means nuff homes coming down dem mountains and nuff on di flat flooding out.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 18:40:43 

In reply to Chrissy

Does Jamaica have a hurricane shelter system ?

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 18:49:46 

In reply to bimbo

Won't be so bad for St Bess unless she turns much later than anticipated. You should get mostly outer bands with plenty rain and winds. Same fi Westmoreland.

Dis gwin real bad overall.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 18:52:30 

In reply to Commie

Yes but lots of folks don't want to leave home. If I were anywhere near waterfront on the South, East and right through to the exit in Portland/St Mary, or in a shaky house in the mountains/hills, I'd be moving into the shelter tomorrow.

Kingston and St Andrew gwin tek worse licks than Gilbert.

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 18:53:33 

In reply to Commie

I called my family in JA. Bim went thru Tomas when it was a TS and that was a nightmare. The things you take for granted you realize quickly are essential to living.

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 18:55:28 

In reply to pelon

A slow moving buzz saw is what this looks like. Passing next to JA like this is on track to do is as bad as it gets.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 18:55:33 

In reply to nick2020

It will go back down to Cat 3 before approaching and hitting or skirting.

Dis is a bad one.

Allyuh turn on RJR 94.5 - good discussion with the experts.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 19:11:38 

In reply to Chrissy

That is a mistake.

Hurricane David 95% of the houses here lost their roofs.

Now of course that cant happen here as the building code changed drastically and noone builds without roof ties for example but this possession madness and fear of loss of commodities dissapears as soon as your life starts being in danger.

Hopefully this shit breaks up or veers clear because High sustained winds can be hell.

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 19:39:06 

In reply to Commie

but this possession madness and fear of loss of commodities dissapears as soon as your life starts being in danger.


That is not the only reason why people stay home. I have been told by my family they do not want to go to a shelter to be surrounded by strangers. So we tend to take refuge by a family member far away from our possessions.

I think a familiar place surrounded by familiar people brings a sense of comfort in the face of such uncertainty.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 19:40:33 

In reply to nick2020

Where you think they going end up when house gets blown away ?

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 19:44:37 

In reply to Commie

At a family member with a house still standing.
If none exists God help us.

 
Commie 2016-09-30 19:50:20 

In reply to nick2020

Have you actually been through a hurricane ?

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 19:55:43 

In reply to Ewart

This from Jeff Masters sums up my real fears.

If this hits Kingston dawg nyam our suppa.

From Jeff Masters
Here

The threat to the Greater Antilles from Matthew is becoming increasingly worrisome. The most immediate concern is for Jamaica, where a Hurricane Watch has been posted. The latest NHC outlook brings Matthew over the eastern tip of Jamaica on Monday afternoon. A westward shift of just 50 miles--well within the range of uncertainty at this point--would put the city of Kingston in Matthew’s dangerous right-hand side. A major hurricane striking Jamaica from the south would be a virtually unprecedented event. Figure 5 shows the tracks of all major hurricanes passing over or very near Jamaica since 1851. All of the prior events involved storms tracking on a classic west-northwest path except for an unnamed 1912 hurricane that crossed the northwest tip of the island on a northeast path, then made a 180-degree turn. Among all hurricanes since 1851 (not shown), the only one to have crossed Jamaica on a primarily northward track during the last 80 years is Sandy (2012), which struck eastern Jamaica at Category 2 strength. Sandy caused an estimated $100 million in damage in Jamaica and knocked out power to most of the island. Matthew could be much stronger than Sandy, and a northward-oriented path through central Jamaica could bring a severe storm surge into the highly vulnerable Kingston area.

 
VERONICA 2016-09-30 19:56:15 

 
VERONICA 2016-09-30 19:56:15 

Stay safe my Jamaican peeps Hurricane Matthew should not be taken slightly, remember he sat off Bim for a few hours slowing down drastically and gaining more strength prepare for plenty rain from every direction possible.

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 20:03:16 

In reply to Commie

A direct hit no.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 20:04:33 

In reply to Commie

Big mistake and it will be repeated.

 
pelon 2016-09-30 20:11:15 

In reply to Chrissy

150MPH as of 8PM

Only "good" news is that it took an ever so slight west south west dip.

Latest

 
Commie 2016-09-30 20:14:21 

In reply to nick2020

Let me tell you something.

When your roof gone, and your life is in danger, the idea is not to be with family. The only thing that strikes your mind is to be safe. Not one possession will matter. People who havent experienced that dread of thinking you are going to die ont understand it.

People have to know where the Hurricane shelter is and worse case the route to get to it if they decide to tough out early stages.

If you dont have a concrete roof basement with secure doors and windows, you get out.

A Cat 5 will lift you up physically and carry you away. A Cat 4 wont be far behind.

 
dale_staple 2016-09-30 20:15:10 

In reply to pelon

It needs to begin curving north fast. The longer it takes to turn the worse for us. On the other hand...if it misses the system that will pull it north we should be ok. But we will see.

 
pelon 2016-09-30 20:29:51 

In reply to dale_staple

Nah. The best bet is west side of JA.
if I had to bet a dollar, I would say this baby will track west of JA (maybe foolish or optimistic or both) - as all the pros say east.

either way - take this thing serious!

 
Jaffo 2016-09-30 20:38:04 

This system has moved from Tropical Storm to Category 4 status in 12 hours. That is scary.
shock shock shock

I experienced Gilbert and Sandy but I must admit this one has me a bit scared.

 
Headley 2016-09-30 20:40:19 

In reply to pelon

Only "good" news is that it took an ever so slight west south west dip.


Just said the same here. the next 5-8 hours will decide if it goes west of Ja. I am hoping it does. Not a good thing to be on the NE quadrant of a hurricane.

 
nick2020 2016-09-30 20:44:08 

In reply to Commie

I have never been thru it but I understand. But since you fully understand how irrational people are in voting for Trump then you can understand that right?

 
Commie 2016-09-30 20:45:27 

In reply to nick2020

You need to stop mixing topic. Thats how people get headaches. Like mixing drinks.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 20:58:30 

In reply to pelon & dale_staple

The best bet is don't hit Kingston- the right side is stronger

 
dale_staple 2016-09-30 21:06:59 

In reply to Chrissy

Amen sister Chrissy. Thanks for the early warning. We are regular storm trackers here.

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 21:11:30 

In reply to dale_staple

Check out dis brute

 
Runs 2016-09-30 21:31:41 

In reply to Chrissy

2 eyes? sad

 
Curtis 2016-09-30 21:40:42 

In reply to Chrissy

Are there preparations going on in Yard?

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 21:44:41 

In reply to Curtis

Whole heap - over 100 shelters - buses for people to go , all interests prepared but guess what - if this hits close to Kingston all bets are off- thousands will be in danger - a major sea surge and all hell breaks loose.

 
embsallie 2016-09-30 22:32:50 

In reply to pelon

Only "good" news is that it took an ever so slight west south west dip.


With most intense storms you will see what is called a "wobble" as it makes its forward progression.

Winds seem to be now at 165 mph. Big Cat 5

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 23:04:07 

In reply to embsallie

Yep now Cat 5

 
black 2016-09-30 23:05:38 

In reply to Chrissy

Damn! Alyuh stay safe!

 
black 2016-09-30 23:09:54 

In reply to Chrissy

How is the dissemination of information? Are people heeding the warnings?

 
Chrissy 2016-09-30 23:15:42 

In reply to black

Well all the supermarkets were full of people and so were the gas stations
Stay south west Matthew - go West

 
Yamfoot 2016-09-30 23:23:10 

He has grown so massive so quickly!

 
embsallie 2016-09-30 23:24:14 

Looks like the east coast of Florida from Miami through to Palm beach is now in the cone of concern.

 
embsallie 2016-09-30 23:26:09 

In reply to Yamfoot

Nice warm water in the Western Caribbean Sea, that has been pretty much left undisturbed for the better part of the season. Matthew is now feasting and fattening itself.

 
Yamfoot 2016-10-01 02:11:13 

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2016/Hurricane-Matthew?

Slowed to 6mph!

 
nick2020 2016-10-01 03:20:55 

In reply to Yamfoot

sad

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 05:21:16 

In reply to Yamfoot

JA is in for the lick of our life.
There will be a huge loss of life, infrastructure and property.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-01 05:27:30 

In reply to Chrissy

More here

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 05:28:47 

Just tek a look at the damage in Colombia and this storm is miles away from them. This is going to be a disaster of epic proportions

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 05:36:05 

In reply to Chrissy

Latest models shows the storm center may be off shore. Thats better news.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-01 05:48:16 

In reply to dale_staple

On the BBC website

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 06:00:22 

In reply to dale_staple

I guess but I see no good news for now - this is massive even if he decides to stay south of us. This SOB is going across the island direct hit or not. Man I got up to go walk Mona Reservoir but it's raining here already.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 07:07:04 

In reply to Chrissy

I did the same thing to do my short route. Had to abort it and do a mad sprint back home.

 
powen001 2016-10-01 07:30:11 

In reply to Chrissy

sad

no words necessary...

you just make sure you have not forgotten anything that you need.

 
archangel 2016-10-01 07:37:49 

My prayers for you all in yard. Prep as much as you can and hope it is not a direct hit or it fizzles out.

 
black 2016-10-01 07:53:35 

Stay safe!!!

I want to see all my bredrens back here soon.

 
Commie 2016-10-01 08:13:38 

It is likely to weaken significantly before it gets to Jamaica. Still dangerous though.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 08:26:09 

Went on the road - don't need a thing but mi fast - the line to enter the Megamart complex is now near West King's House.

My biggest worry is already a problem - Palisadoes strip under water. Wait fi dem boulders to dislodge. Port Royal folks better move now and no one could mek me stay at Norman Manley Airport from today.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 08:26:31 

In reply to Commie

How yuh mean significantly - they are saying Cat3 which is a major hurricane

 
archangel 2016-10-01 08:34:10 

Of the seven possible tracks given, five tracks go through Jamaica. The other two has it going west of yard but close enough to still cause problems.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 08:43:27 

In reply to Chrissy

I suppose he means in the context of where it was. But this thing is no joke. I am going to WALK. To an electronics store round the road to get a better fuse for the generator and then WALK to this hardware store to get some grout.

I will then come home and then set up my "hurricane station". First aid, batteries, radio, lamps etc all on a table on standby. Going to amp up the freezer and put in some bottles of water to freeze starting tomorrow. Gonna cook off the chicken from today and put it away. Plumber is here doing a once around. So all is well.

 
Hants 2016-10-01 08:48:34 

Jamaican should prepare for a Cat3 given the forecasts right now. Even if your home remains intact you may not be able to get to stores and supermarkets for days and there could be no electricity as well.
Do the best you can to prepare and stay safe.

 
Commie 2016-10-01 08:49:30 

In reply to Chrissy

Still very dangerous but not Cat5.

Cat5 is catastrophic.

Ive seen cows blowing away in a Cat5.

small blessings.

 
Hants 2016-10-01 08:57:56 

In reply to Commie
Mahogany trees got blown down and roofs ripped off in Barbados and it was only a tropical storm.

 
Commie 2016-10-01 09:03:58 

In reply to Hants

The roofs are expected because Barbados hasnt got alot of hurricane experience. Its about the building code usually.

 
nick2020 2016-10-01 09:24:48 

In reply to Commie

The roofs are expected because Barbados hasnt got alot of hurricane experience.


Like most islands Barbados has many people living in houses that are not up to hurricane code. In the construction business people constantly advertise that the houses they are building are up to hurricane code but there are still several people out there living in houses that will flatten even in a Tropical Storm.

 
Commie 2016-10-01 09:31:26 

In reply to nick2020

You need a Cat5 to devastate you unfortunately for people to learn.

Now dominica gets flooded but roofs wont go. People actually now overengineer on builds.

 
black 2016-10-01 09:40:47 

In reply to Chrissy

I've never been in a hurricane before, the closest one ever got to me was Houston.

How are you feeling right now?

Are you feeling cautious or fearful?

 
camos 2016-10-01 09:44:24 

In reply to nick2020


the biggest dangers from hurricane are ,flooding and landslides.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 09:54:39 

In reply to black

Bro I'm eating a nice yellow tail snapper wid breadfruit and avocado and freshly squeezed ortanique juice.

I've stocked up since last Saturday - anything south of Barbados usually means serious problems for Jamaica.

Experts tell me the eye will miss us - I'm cool preparing for the post-Matthew inconveniences.

If I get tired of dem, I'll jump on a plane and chill in Miami. Sis and her hubby already want me to drop everything and come. They are way more scared than me. This too will pass.

 
Admin 2016-10-01 10:07:27 

Alyuh hold strong. Please be prepared and worry about your safety. Help those who need it.

_ryan

 
CW 2016-10-01 10:07:46 

In reply to Chrissy

Hope so....

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 10:07:48 

In reply to dale_staple

Palisadoes strip open again - Port Royal folks can move up and down

 
black 2016-10-01 10:10:55 

In reply to Chrissy

Bro I'm eating a nice yellow tail snapper wid breadfruit and avocado and freshly squeezed ortanique juice.


Snapper is the only fish you talk about. lol

Stay positive!

 
Headley 2016-10-01 10:21:10 

In reply to Chrissy

Bro I'm eating a nice yellow tail snapper wid breadfruit and avocado and freshly squeezed ortanique juice.


There should be a luxury tax. big grin


Palisadoes strip open again - Port Royal folks can move up and down


Palisadoes Strip

 
nick2020 2016-10-01 10:56:36 

In reply to Commie

You need a Cat5 to devastate you unfortunately for people to learn.


The people who can afford it will learn. I do not know what happens in your part of the woods but some people use small time carpenters to build a house brick by brick (board by board) over years. Too many do not even insure.

I never understand why people do not insure a house and its contents. That must be factored into ownership. When I become a big shot like powen I making sure I insure.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 11:14:00 

In reply to Chrissy

Good. I see where they say the eye and strongest winds will miss us. Thats great news. But we will know for sure on Saturday evening.

 
black 2016-10-01 11:23:06 

In reply to nick2020

I do not know what happens in your part of the woods but some people use small time carpenters to build a house brick by brick (board by board) over years. Too many do not even insure.

I never understand why people do not insure a house and its contents. That must be factored into ownership. When I become a big shot like powen I making sure I insure.


You just made a case for insurers to not insure houses.

Insurers are reluctant to insure houses in flood prone areas.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-01 11:23:25 

In reply to dale_staple

More here

 
camos 2016-10-01 11:33:24 

In reply to black

Insurers are reluctant to insure houses in flood prone areas




normal homeowners insurance does not cover the peril of 'FLOOD' flood is deemed too devastating .

 
black 2016-10-01 11:44:04 

In reply to camos

normal homeowners insurance does not cover the peril of 'FLOOD' flood is deemed too devastating .


True, that makes it harder to get coverage from those that offer it.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 11:46:18 

In reply to Headley

See when yuh nuh need big house and fancy car yuh can eat snapper lol

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 11:48:49 

In reply to Hants

sound advice

 
Commie 2016-10-01 12:00:46 

In reply to nick2020

The learning part starts with Planning Approval.

If you don't get Approval you can't get a bank loan or financing. Thats how building codes get enforced. If someone is doing the cash bit by bit thing and they avoid the codes then they take a risk and unfortunately they fork.

They might get away with it for a lifetime or just a few years. It's a risk.

 
pelon 2016-10-01 12:01:37 

I still maintain this one will head WEST of JA

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 12:03:35 

In reply to powen001

Bro I cyan do anything more. What is to be is to be.

 
Curtis 2016-10-01 13:07:36 

In reply to Chrissy

what's happening now? yuh got backup power to post if blackout during storm? will you be leaving your place?

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 14:41:20 

In reply to Curtis

My place safer than Pearl - not leaving. No back up power but if we're without power for too long I'll get a small generator lol

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 14:43:23 

In reply to pelon

I hope you're right. It has weakened a bit.

history

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 15:23:33 

Matthew stopped on a dime - now moving at 2mph. Quite a stall.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 15:26:05 

In reply to Yamfoot

Amazing

 
Courtesy 2016-10-01 16:07:10 

In reply to Chrissy

Have you heard from my good friend Samwells?

If you hear from he tell he to stay safe.

Be safe.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 16:08:44 

In reply to Chrissy

He's getting ready to turn north. He is going through an eyewall replacement cycle as well. We have to be really watchful now. The next 6-12 hours will determine a lot.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 16:14:31 

In reply to Courtesy

Tenks

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 16:14:48 

In reply to dale_staple

But he's now going South at 2mph

 
pelon 2016-10-01 16:16:18 

In reply to Chrissy

Matthew stopped on a dime - now moving at 2mph. Quite a stall.

Bad sign. Bad for JA that is. What it confirms is the system has hit a ridge or sheer and will commence a northern (slight even) track, due to a large upper-level low pressure system over east central US. If it remained fast moving it would go west of JA. the next 8 hrs of movement will be critical.

Be safe all.

Chrissy: Observe the "walls" - you can see the only way to go is UP. Not good! If it slows, it loses Western track.....

HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR JAMAICA AND MUCH OF HAITI

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 17:34:01 

In reply to pelon

Check dis

Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 15 to 25inches over southern Haiti, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches. Matthew is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches over eastern Jamaica, the Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba, with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 25 inches. This rainfall will likely produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides

 
pelon 2016-10-01 17:47:41 

In reply to Chrissy

Haiti just needs 4 inches of rain to have epic mudslides..

This is a pending disaster for Haiti

sad sad sad

 
FanAttick 2016-10-01 18:38:07 

In reply to Chrissy

When is it expected to be over Jamaica? Hopefully not in the dead of night...

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 19:09:36 

In reply to FanAttick

Oh no! Look at the radar image and see how haiti is going to get the brunt of this brute.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 19:10:00 

In reply to FanAttick

Sorry Fanattick, it will be a night into day storm.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 20:25:35 

In reply to dale_staple

The real arrival is Monday afternoon but we will begin to feel it from tomorrow late morning/afternoon.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 20:38:07 

In reply to Chrissy

It has completely stalled now. No movement.

 
Curtis 2016-10-01 21:09:22 

In reply to dale_staple
would love to see video of how it affects the sea where it is now stalled

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 21:35:55 

In reply to Curtis

Me too. that should be some show.

 
pelon 2016-10-01 21:37:52 

GEOS-13 Satellite down. No Sat images

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 21:48:20 

Virtually stationary

 
Chrissy 2016-10-01 21:50:09 

In reply to pelon

What if he moves NW instead of North

 
dale_staple 2016-10-01 23:15:47 

In reply to Chrissy

Its moving NNW at 7 mph. Haiti is going to get crushed. We are out of the cone of projection for the storm. We will get the tropical force winds and lots of rain, but we have dodged a serious bullet here.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-02 00:47:52 

Haiti did something to someone in its lifetime. I swear.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 05:04:54 

In reply to dale_staple

Rubbish - it's all about size - Cuba and Haiti get hit more because of the size of their islands.

Moving NW at5.00amUS time

 
dale_staple 2016-10-02 06:46:25 

In reply to Chrissy

Yeah so I see. We should start feeling the effects by later today into tomorrow at this speed and track.

 
pelon 2016-10-02 08:02:54 

Forecaster have a much more favorable track this morning. Unfortunately this means more towards Haiti.

AT this point a "split" right between the two countries is the best hope.

Summary page for Matthew

Track

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 08:41:24 

Keeping a close eye here in the TCI.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 08:53:28 

In reply to Cheeks

Yuh better - at this time, it's looking more like you.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 08:54:31 

In reply to pelon

Still moving NW - I am not relaxing yet although our experts are saying lots of rain, but more Ivan than Gilbert destruction.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-02 09:41:38 

In reply to Chrissy

The turn to NNE should take place later today. I hope.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-02 11:50:55 

In reply to dale_staple

Moving west at 3 mph. Its certainly taking its own sweet time deciding what it wants to do.

 
Headley 2016-10-02 12:33:49 

In reply to Cheeks

I was telling my wife TCI and Cayman Islands have been overlooked because of size.

 
Headley 2016-10-02 12:35:14 

In reply to dale_staple

Moving west at 3 mph. Its certainly taking its own sweet time deciding what it wants to do.


Make one think this is a storm with malicious intentions. big grin

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 15:16:44 

In reply to Headley

I was telling my wife TCI and Cayman Islands have been overlooked because of size.


You sure right about that.

Still travelling NW though. This fella Matthew really toying with the Northern Caribbean.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 15:18:30 

In reply to Cheeks

The outerbands are here - no windyet but heavy rain and nuff lightning and thunder.

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 15:21:57 

In reply to Chrissy

Ok. I've stocked up but ....my residence on this pancake called Providenciales is toooooo close to the beach. I'm heading to 'higher' ground depending on how this plays out.

 
Commie 2016-10-02 15:23:53 

In reply to Cheeks

Higher is relative is TCI for sure big grin

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 15:28:24 

In reply to Commie

Higher is relative is TCI for sure


Yup..you know the deal.

 
powen001 2016-10-02 15:32:54 

In reply to Cheeks

All jokes aside..

Dont wait and see how it plays out...

move inland all now.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 15:38:57 

In reply to Cheeks

Go higher bro - right now lol

 
FanAttick 2016-10-02 16:12:33 

In reply to Chrissy

Matthew brought a great Yardie home lol lol

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 16:18:48 

In reply to powen001

I have a place arranged. ie my office and it takes like 5 mins to get there.

This is moving so slowly...I will make the decision sometime tomorrow morning. If it keeps its NW track..then I think we will be spared...but if the projected NE turn happens..then we're in a for a beating.

Jah know...this lil rock floods in 10 mins.

 
Headley 2016-10-02 16:40:20 

Pictures Please

I have a professional interest in big drains (storm drains) and sea surge retaining structures (like the revetment constructed of boulders on the Palisadoes Road). I would be grateful if posters in Kingston and St. Andrew could post, direct me to, or PM me any post Hurricane Matthew pictures of storm drains or the Palisadoes Road. Please remember to identify the location.

A little history and geology of the Palisadoes Road.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 17:50:42 

In reply to Headley

I will ask di experts fi yuh

 
Headley 2016-10-02 18:04:24 

In reply to Chrissy

Thank you and keep safe.

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 20:17:44 

Still NW.

 
camos 2016-10-02 20:28:29 

the storm has not moved since 5 pm!

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 20:29:18 

Idleness smile

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 20:33:54 

In reply to camos

Nah sah ....it move 0.2 deg W and bout 0.1 N. Still at 5mph.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-02 20:35:59 

In reply to Cheeks

lol lol
If I were in TCI, I'd be on my way to Miami lol

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 20:39:32 

In reply to Chrissy

If I were in TCI, I'd be on my way to Miami


I'm hoping for continued Westward ways to confound all the models....mek Matthew sputter somewhere over water between the Yucatan and Western Cuba.

Oh well...a man can dream.

 
camos 2016-10-02 20:50:19 

In reply to Cheeks


matthew is parked along 75W.

 
Cheeks 2016-10-02 20:54:50 

In reply to camos

At 5pm he was at 74.8 W smile I tekkin every 1/10000 deg he moves West yes.

 
camos 2016-10-02 21:00:18 

In reply to Cheeks

it is very dangerous, moving too slowly,get a feeling there will be a dramatic turn.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-03 06:30:30 

Spanish Town Road, Marcus Garvey Drive, Seaview Gardens, Hagley Park Road, Constant Spring Road, and Chelsea Avenue were among the areas of the Corporate Area where heavy flooding was reported yesterday.

The Meteorological Service, which maintained its hurricane warning yesterday, said the parishes of Portland, St Thomas, St Mary, Kingston, St Andrew, St Catherine, and St Ann are the parishes which are expected to get the brunt of the rain and winds from the powerful Category four hurricane.

More here

 
Curtis 2016-10-03 06:41:15 

Chrissy...what's happening?

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 07:25:54 

In reply to Cheeks

Moving North now at 5mph - wind moving in slowly here - heavy clouds. Matthew will not inflict a direct hit on either Haiti or Jamaica. Looks like Guantanamo Bay.

That said he's passing close enough to us to inflict some serious blows.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 07:28:36 

In reply to Curtis

Pleasant night - light rain most of the night - don't know if there was any lightning or thunder but doubt it. Very dark clouds around - wind picking up.

It's going to be a night storm now because it's moving real slow. Our weather folks say to expect wind around 100mph. No direct hit for JA or Haiti.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 07:29:12 

In reply to mikesiva

Bro dem places flood during afternoon showers. lol

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 07:39:55 

In reply to Chrissy

DWL!!! Here comes the big rains. The satellite pics dont look good at all. Poor Haiti being ravaged by the eastern side of the storm. The next 24 hours will be very interesting to say the least.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 08:31:23 

Gone down to category 3. Going back up to 4 later today. Outer bands in 2 hours.

 
nitro 2016-10-03 08:38:34 

In reply to dale_staple

Great news for the Jamaican economy. The impact should not be as devastating as it looked.

We maybe able to continue on the path to 5% growth.

Rising oil prices is the major worry.

 
LBW375 2016-10-03 08:40:07 

Waking up to overcast conditions here in Kingston. No rain, no breeze. Sun peeping through the clouds. Not going to last, heavy clouds rolling in.

Heading down to our office in a minute, make sure wifey covered up all the computers.

Binge watching Luke Cage later and waiting on Matthew

 
Cheeks 2016-10-03 08:55:48 

In reply to LBW375


Binge watching Luke Cage later and waiting on Matthew


Did that binge over the weekend. Enjoyed it.

 
pelon 2016-10-03 09:38:54 

In reply to Cheeks

Binge watching Luke Cage later and waiting on Matthew

Got to episode 11 then work interrupted smile

Matthew: looking like ANY western track in the next 6 hours would spell trouble for JA, however all models predict a NE or dead North track, thus treading the needle between Haiti and Jamaica

East Coast will still take a beating.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 09:52:00 

In reply to dale_staple

Word is tropical storm winds, torrential rain and very high sea surge - will be night time given the slow speed of Matthew.

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 10:41:05 

In reply to Chrissy

I hate storms that make a night impact. Its hard to see outside. I remember when i had to face dean in 2007. I had just moved out of my family home and I was on my own for the first time. I was living in my now aunt in law's home in portmore. That was a heck of an experience.

HERE COMES THE RAIN.

 
Walco 2016-10-03 10:46:47 

In reply to dale_staple

I was telling someone the same thing yesterday about hurricanes that hit at night.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 11:08:07 

In reply to dale_staple

Hurricane history of the three islands

Good read.


Jamaica’s hurricane history
Despite being in a part of the Caribbean prone to hurricanes, Jamaica has suffered only three direct hits by hurricanes since 1950:

Hurricane Charlie of 1951. This Category 3 storm plowed along the length of the island, killing 154 people. According to EM-DAT, the international disaster database, this was Jamaica’s deadliest hurricane (NHC lists the death toll at 259.)

Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. The mighty Category 3 storm also took a path over the length of the island with sustained winds of 125 winds, killing 49 and causing over $2 billion in damage—by far Jamaica’s most expensive hurricane on record.

Hurricane Sandy of 2012. Sandy hit the island as a Category 1 storm with 85 mph winds, killing two and causing $100 million in damage. About 70% of the residents of Jamaica lost power.

Hurricanes have a funny way of taking 11th-hour course changes that spare the island a direct hit. Category 5 Hurricane Allen took an odd wobble around the island. Category 4 Hurricane Dean of 2007 was headed straight for the island, but also wobbled just to the south, keeping the dangerous northern eyewall just south of Jamaica. Dean caused plenty of damage, though, bringing sustained Category 2 hurricane winds to the coast. Damage was estimated at $350 million, and 3 people died.

Perhaps the remarkable turn of an approaching hurricane was by Hurricane Ivan 2004, as it headed directly for the island with 145 mph Category 4 winds. Ivan took a sudden turn 35 miles from the island, traced out an exact outline of the island's coast 35 miles offshore, then resumed its previous track. In the Jamaica Observer,

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 11:35:20 

In reply to Chrissy

Bwoy...Ivan was the most stunning thing I ever saw. I mean it really went along the coast and never made landfall. To date..no one understands how or why that happened.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 13:09:44 

In reply to dale_staple

Even in di Rumshop folks were beyond shocked - it was heading straight for us lol

 
mikesiva 2016-10-03 13:14:40 

In reply to Chrissy

lol
I was thinking the same thing....

I understand the storm's expected to hit about 2am. Is that correct?

 
Headley 2016-10-03 13:21:04 

In reply to Chrissy

Ivan took a sudden turn 35 miles from the island, traced out an exact outline of the island's coast 35 miles offshore, then resumed its previous track.


Meteorologists are in agreement that hurricanes don't like ganga smoke. big grin

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 14:17:26 

In reply to mikesiva

LOCATION...15.9N 74.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


I still don't know the exact time - it's been moving with regularity.

I notice he's regained strength

 
Headley 2016-10-03 14:37:49 

In reply to mikesiva

Tracking Matthew


15.9N 74.8W at 2pm Monday

195 miles at 6 mph = 32.5 hours


If Matthew continues at 6mph it will pass Ja around 2pm Monday plus 32.5 hours = 10.30pm Tuesday.

However there is a good chance it will move more quickly as it approaches land.

 
nick2020 2016-10-03 14:42:05 

In reply to dale_staple

Bajans do not understand how fortunate they were when Ivan went against all models and missed.
I remember being in the supermarket for hours getting ready for the worst.

Then it swung and Grenada knows how the story ended.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 14:49:08 

In reply to nick2020

The Caymans as well and several parts of our South coast

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 14:50:14 

In reply to Headley

In other words dis place shut down until Wednesday. Heavy rain in St Mary, Portland and St Thomas now

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 15:48:55 

The Mighty Matthew!

Lawks 'im moving slow shock

 
Ewart 2016-10-03 16:32:21 

In reply to Chrissy

...it was heading straight for us...






ummm..... Rev. Al?



wink


//

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 16:35:27 

In reply to Ewart

U also remember the "prayers" of only Al.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 16:44:24 

In reply to Ewart

lol lol lol

now picking up speed 7mph lol

 
Headley 2016-10-03 16:50:56 

In reply to Cheeks

I believe there are areas in Provo which may be as high as 15 - 30 ft above sea level but a strong surge would cover about 4-5 ft like Ivan did to the Cayman Islands. Go to high ground, preferably on the second floor.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 16:54:48 

Psssssssssssssssst! Tropical Storm Warning now.

 
Headley 2016-10-03 17:06:35 

In reply to Chrissy

"Normal" service should resume on Thursday.

Just noticed the change from hurricane to TS. Dat is the difference between losing power for 3 hours vs 3 days. big grin

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 17:21:47 

The radar showing that we are about to get some major wind and rain shortly. Hang on to your hats kids. Tonight will be rough. Especially in St. Thomas, Portland and St. Mary.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 18:49:49 

In reply to dale_staple

Several US states have declared a state of emergency starting with Florida.
It is going to be deadly in Haiti tonight.

We can expect torrential rains without the hurricane force winds.
I'll settle for that.

 
camos 2016-10-03 18:51:04 

all them churches in Ja can claim they serve a purpose.

 
Outswinger 2016-10-03 19:11:35 

In reply to camos

Easy now. But stay safe. Remember though, physical safety is not the only safety to be concerned about.

 
camos 2016-10-03 19:39:36 

In reply to Outswinger

thanks bro but I am not in Ja.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 19:56:23 

Haiti about to get a direct hit from Cat4 or Cat5 Matthew

cry cry cry

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 20:29:04 

In reply to Chrissy

Bwoy what a beast of a hurricane. I cannot believe it. I mean if that thing had just wobbled west it woulda been curtains for us.

 
FanAttick 2016-10-03 20:38:31 

In reply to Chrissy

Can it thread the needle and spare Haiti a direct hit?

 
Chrissy 2016-10-03 20:41:11 

In reply to FanAttick

I'm hoping for that

 
dale_staple 2016-10-03 21:20:32 

In reply to FanAttick

Fan the track is for it to go NNE...so here's hoping the stronger winds stay off track. The problem is that its still going to get all of the rain from the eastern bands.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-04 04:42:17 

In reply to Chrissy

Of course, that hurricane history was only since 1950...as you know, Jamaica suffered from a string of hurricanes in the 1780s, one of which destroyed Savanna-la-mar with a storm surge.

More on that warning downgrade

 
Maispwi 2016-10-04 06:23:23 

In reply to mikesiva

De Eastern portion of Jamaica will experience hurricane force gusts for at least 12 hrs. Maybe dey shudn have downgraded de warning which may allow some people to become complacent

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 06:43:33 

In reply to Maispwi

Truth is they were forced to do it because most of us use NHC. Rain and wind overnight - nothing dramatic so far - certainly not where I am - word is that things are much worse on the southeast, parts of the south and northeast coasts.

Dis island is so freaking lucky it isn't funny. Leh we spare a thought for the folks in Haiti, TCI and the Bahamas.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 06:52:09 

Wind picking up now - can see nuff rain coming.

 
FanAttick 2016-10-04 06:52:47 

In reply to Chrissy

Sources say that Matthew causing a lot of this... lol

 
Maispwi 2016-10-04 06:59:01 

In reply to Chrissy

Doh forget Satno Domingo smack in de north east quadrant of Matthew

 
dale_staple 2016-10-04 07:16:25 

In reply to Chrissy

Truth is that people do not and will never understand natural phenomenon. Try as we might to study, the full will never be understood. All we can do is just be thankful that we were spared the full wrath and to pray for those who have not been so fortunate.

We cannot cuss government because frankly speaking on Friday evening we were all fretting. But the wobbling and slow movement of the storm helped a lot.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 07:25:10 

In reply to Maispwi

Serious ting dat - they are teking a rhatid lick.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 07:25:48 

In reply to FanAttick

Western Haiti will get a direct lick - send all the good vibes you can for those poor people.

 
Jaffo 2016-10-04 08:14:04 

Another system forming to the east of Barbados.

Link Text

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 08:19:58 

In reply to Jaffo

Saw dat but it isn't spinning up to now

 
Jaffo 2016-10-04 08:21:35 

In reply to Chrissy

Yeah I realise. Wonder if it will get more organised. Will still bring some rain to Barbados though.

 
Toney 2016-10-04 08:39:36 

In reply to Chrissy

[b] Dis island is so freaking lucky it isn't funny. Leh we spare a thought for the folks in Haiti, TCI and the Bahamas.
[/b]


It's not luck : it''s the number of churches with the large number of prayers praying for diliverance that might saved Jamaica. You should find a Church near you and give the people dem a hand lol lol

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 09:31:48 

Back to work folks

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 09:32:50 

In reply to Toney

Size and location matter. Using your perspective,explain the crime

 
Headley 2016-10-04 09:35:55 

In reply to Chrissy

Matthew at 8:00 AM


Location - on top of Haiti.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 10:06:04 

In reply to Headley

First Cat4 to hit Haiti -too sad

 
Ewart 2016-10-04 10:10:41 

In reply to Headley

From: Matthew 8

When he had entered Capernaum, a centurion came forward to him, appealing to him, 6 “Lord, my servant is lying paralyzed at home, suffering terribly.” 7 And he said to him, “I will come and heal him.”

8 But the centurion replied, “Lord, I am not worthy to have you come under my roof, but only say the word, and my servant will be healed. 9 For I too am a man under authority, with soldiers under me. And I say to one, ‘Go,’ and he goes, and to another, ‘Come,’ and he comes, and to my servant,3 ‘Do this,’ and he does it.”
10 When Jesus heard this, mhe marveled and said to those who followed him, “Truly, I tell you, with no one in Israel4 have I found such faith. 11 I tell you, many will come from east and west and recline at table with Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob in the kingdom of heaven, 12 while the sons of the kingdom will be thrown into the outer darkness. In that place there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.”

13 And to the centurion Jesus said, “Go; let it be done for you sas you have believed.” And the servant was healed at that very moment.


//

 
dale_staple 2016-10-04 11:24:39 

Something else may be coming right behind.

 
Headley 2016-10-04 12:03:39 

In reply to Ewart

Matthew 8 - how appropriate

Yes sah I do not doubt that faith can move mountains, mankind and even hurricane Matthew.

I tell you, many will come from east and west and recline at table with Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob in the kingdom of heaven,


Sadly, I am not possessed of such faith, but that is for another time. big grin

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 12:08:53 

New Providence may take a direct hit - bare panic in Nassau. Allyuh tek care yuh hear.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-04 12:24:31 

In reply to Chrissy

Four reported dead in Dom Rep

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 12:37:48 

In reply to mikesiva

They're facing horrific rain. Nassau will take a direct hit - first time in eight decades. That will be a disaster.

 
Ewart 2016-10-04 12:38:46 

In reply to Headley


big grin big grin


//

 
XFactor 2016-10-04 14:31:53 

In reply to Chrissy

Nassau will take a direct hit - first time in eight decades.


Really? I thought they were in hurricane alley and the Bahamas are always pounded.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-04 15:57:09 

In reply to XFactor

Not New Providence.

 
camos 2016-10-05 14:21:39 

Unnu stop following the storm because it pass unnu yard?

 
Chrissy 2016-10-05 14:24:47 

In reply to camos

Nah - mi in touch wid mi sis in Miami and a good friend in South Carolina. Generators run out in Miami; gas stations running out and dem on TS warning.

 
camos 2016-10-05 14:26:14 

In reply to Chrissy

Lawd ,I have to call my friend in Charleston SC.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-05 16:26:40 

In reply to camos

Damn look at Eastern Cuba - that is serious damage.

 
Cheeks 2016-10-05 16:57:43 

We get wey jus like Yaad. Feeling it for the peeps who were not so lucky this time around..but grateful for my own family wid two lil pickney. A major hurricane is a terrifying experience for kids

 
Chrissy 2016-10-05 17:35:10 

In reply to Cheeks

Well Yard under pelting rain right now - way more than when Matthew was closer - glad you're OK lol

 
Chrissy 2016-10-05 19:08:03 

Where is Gvenkitty - batten down brother and stay safe

 
camos 2016-10-05 19:11:18 

In reply to Cheeks

was thinking you guys took a hit.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-06 03:42:48 

In reply to camos

"Rescue workers in Haiti are struggling to reach parts of the country cut off by the most powerful Caribbean hurricane in nearly a decade. The destruction wrought by Hurricane Matthew has forced Haiti's presidential election this weekend to be postponed, officials say. Thousands have been displaced and at least 10 people have died. The US states of Florida and South Carolina are bracing for the storm, which is nearing the Bahamas."

More here

"At least 11 deaths were blamed on the powerful storm during its week-long march across the Caribbean, five of them in Haiti. But with a key bridge washed out, roads impassable and phone communications down, the western tip of Haiti was isolated and there was no full accounting of the dead and injured in Matthew’s wake."

And here

 
Chrissy 2016-10-06 08:12:34 

In reply to mikesiva

It's a mess - part of Eastern Cuba is pretty bad and several islands in the Bahamas took/are taking a lick.
Watching Nassau and Paradise island now.

My Miami sis put up the shutters and she and her hubby headed to California. They left second son and his girlfriend to watch the place. I think Miami will escape unless whe Matthew makes that U turn he heads back for them.
Hope he doesn't go through Cuba and head our way.

 
mikesiva 2016-10-06 12:24:38 

In reply to Chrissy

"The Caymans as well and several parts of our South coast"

I was watching a documentary by Simon Reeve on the BBC entitled something like "The Caribbean with Simon Reeve", and one of the places he visited was the Caymans. There, he saw houses that still hadn't been fixed after Hurricane Ivan, and described the horrible smell of damp in the houses of ordinary Caymanians. He spoke to a retired civil servant whose pension couldn't cover the mortgage, or pay for the damage to her house, and was facing eviction. He then visited the premier of Cayman, who shrugged his shoulders, and said a charity would probably take care of her....

That is the life of ordinary Caymanians under the British....

Haiti's death toll rises

"Hurricane Matthew has left at least 23 people dead in Haiti, a toll likely to climb as authorities re-establish contact with the hardest-hit areas where the damage is "catastrophic," officials said. The Caribbean's worst storm in nearly a decade, Matthew slammed into Haiti, the Americas' poorest nation, with heavy rains and devastating winds triggering severe flooding and mud slides."

 
Headley 2016-10-06 16:14:27 

In reply to mikesiva

When Ivan hit Cayman Is. it was devastating. 2 months after the hurricane I went there in relation to a bank which had lost one of its branches. Bank staff lived on the upper floor of the main office of the bank for a month.

The surge had covered 4 feet of most of Grand Cayman's west coast which is the main hotel area. Many of the new commercial buildings were made of concrete board so the water left a coating of mold which made them unsafe for occupation.

It was a difficult recovery, and that was in the days when Cayman had a flourishing economy.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-06 17:07:51 

In reply to Headley

This is an unbelievable disaster and it will get worsse

 
dale_staple 2016-10-06 18:02:49 

In reply to Chrissy

U see that the hurricane is projected to loop and hit lower Florida now! Can you believe this storm!! Yet people here cussing the MET office?

 
Runs 2016-10-06 18:51:58 

40 feet storm surge forecasted for Florida coast

 
Chrissy 2016-10-06 20:46:28 

Over 200 dead in Haiti -damn! cry

 
gvenkat 2016-10-06 20:58:13 

In reply to Chrissy

Real scary.I just managed to escape Florida and I'm Wisconsin for work till the end of the week. So I escaped the wrath, but my thoughts are with Central Florida. Scheduled to go back Sunday if things return to normalcy.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-06 21:44:24 

In reply to gvenkat

Good to hear.

 
gvenkat 2016-10-06 21:59:27 

In reply to Chrissy

Wherever it makes landfall will be a disaster. Thanks for checking in chrissy.. you are thr weather champion... Bahamas taking a direct hit.. damn

 
Headley 2016-10-06 22:24:40 

In reply to Chrissy

I was busy today but I am not seeing a lot of news out of the Bahamas. As far as I recall New Providence does not have daily papers which may partly explain the lack of news. Or is it that the real sources of news are focused on Florida?

 
mikesiva 2016-10-07 05:38:00 

In reply to Headley

'Hurricane Matthew’s blast through The Bahamas brought harrowing reports of roofs blown off, windows shattering and water rising perilously, including a social media post from one desperate resident who said, “I’m on a chest of drawers. Phone battery low.”'

More here

Of course, it was much worse in Haiti

"Hundreds of people have died in Hurricane Matthew, the largest storm to hit the Caribbean - and soon the United States - for a decade. As one of the poorest countries in the world is still dealing with the effects of an earthquake last year and a cholera outbreak, now close to 300 people have been killed by collapsing infrastructure and mudslides amid a category four storm which ravaged the Caribbean this week. Conflicting reports say the latest death toll is between 264 and 283 people in Haiti - both numbers are up dramatically from the half dozen or so initially reported."

 
Headley 2016-10-07 07:54:32 

In reply to mikesiva

Thanks Mike. I expect we will hear more from the other islands over the coming days.

 
Cheeks 2016-10-07 08:24:13 

Haiti sad

 
mikesiva 2016-10-07 09:04:25 

In reply to Headley

"There were no deaths reported in the Bahamas on Thursday, but terrified locals still said it was like nothing they had ever seen."

Read more:

Lots of houses destroyed in Cuba, but no reported deaths

 
Headley 2016-10-07 15:55:35 

In reply to Cheeks

Every estimate of the death toll is more frightening.

 
Runs 2016-10-07 17:04:48 

Haiti and the Bahamas devastated

 
powen001 2016-10-07 17:07:23 

In reply to Runs

There is something really freaky about how this STORM has been behaving....

and its still not done.

 
Chrissy 2016-10-07 20:46:34 

Number of dead in Haiti passes 800

 
mikesiva 2016-10-08 04:43:01 

In reply to Chrissy

"Hundreds of people have been killed in the wake of the strongest storm to hit the Caribbean and the United States in more than a decade. In Haiti, the death toll due to Hurricane Matthew rose to 842, according to Reuters, with tens of thousands of people now homeless and a swathe of crops and livestock destroyed. Many more people are missing or unaccounted for."

More here

 
mikesiva 2016-10-09 04:17:20 

"At least ten people have died as Hurricane Matthew continued to work its way up the Atlantic coast of the United States. The storm has diminished since pulverising Haiti, causing almost 900 deaths, yet still continues to wreak havoc in the US causing serious flooding and widespread power outages in Georgia and Florida."

More here