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Six days to election, Clinton was up 2.1%

 
VIX 2020-10-28 16:36:27 

...in battleground states.

Biden has this covered!!

he's up a MAGA, I mean mega 3.8%

Uuuuge difference.
Bigly!


#murca- where someone as despicable as Trump was not only elected president, but still has a chance at reelection!! big grin big grin

 
sudden 2020-10-28 17:03:43 

In reply to VIX

President Trump has seesawed back into a one-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch survey.

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

On the last Wednesday before Election Day in 2016, Trump and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton were tied at 44% apiece in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch.


that is the right poll there

 
ray 2020-10-28 17:08:57 

In reply to sudden

past performance does not guarantee future results lol

 
VIX 2020-10-28 17:10:18 

In reply to ray

Funny How History Often Repeats Itself

 
sudden 2020-10-28 17:13:40 

In reply to VIX

correct is right

 
StumpCam 2020-10-28 17:41:29 

In reply to VIX

As someone who claims to be an expert investor, you should know that “past performance does not guarantee future returns!” lol lol lol

BTW ray, I didn’t see your post before posting! lol

 
VIX 2020-10-28 17:44:38 

In reply to StumpCam

I'm an experienced investor, not expert. wink

 
sudden 2020-10-28 17:48:44 

In reply to VIX

tell the man you always look at the upside big grin

 
VIX 2020-10-28 17:50:42 

In reply to sudden

I look at realistic gains 4 years down the road - not 4 days, as failed investors do lol lol

not to mention the clueless who come here and bawl DOW down every so often
big grin

 
Jamstar 2020-10-28 18:28:38 

In reply to sudden

Rasmussen is a heavily republican leaning poll.

 
JayMor 2020-10-28 18:31:50 

In reply to Jamstar

Cho, man! Sudden is having a ball. Let the thread flow, please. smile

--Æ.

 
Jamstar 2020-10-28 18:50:19 

In reply to VIX

A few things here.

If Biden outperforms Hillary in the battleground states by 1.6%. He wins the rust belt and takes Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin and holds the Hillary states to win the election. You can chuck Floridain in as well with Arizona and North Carolina being very very close if Biden wins these 3 he is up to a Obama 2012 type of win. People get lost in the Trump talking points about electoral college landslide and don't even realise a half a point shift to left in the rust belt means a trump lost.


Undecideds broke heavily for Trump 4 years ago when the Comey letters dramatically changed the game ( which is why republicans are pushing Hunter Biden so hard). There are not as many undecideds as 4 years ago and the Hunter Biden stuff is not picking up as much traction as the republicans would want.

Though Hillary lead in the polls she was rarely over 50% while Biden is consistently hitting that number and has I have said already if there are 100 pieces of silver and I have 51 pieces it is impossible for you to have more than I do.


Finally the polls were adjusted after 2016 and are probably more right leaning than the actual reality on the ground, it is far more likely Biden's numbers are being under reported than Trump's after all if the pollesters are wrong to left once more then then are out of a job.


The dynamics of this election are far different than in 2016.

 
Jamstar 2020-10-28 18:58:05 

In reply to Jamstar

Facts do kinda matter, in 2018 Rasmussen had republicans ahead by 1 percent in generic poll while most pollesters had it a Democratic advantage of between 7 and 9 percent.

Rasmussen was banned about by the Don himself and Republicans were super bullish on their polls because it had them picking up house seats.


In the end Dems won nationally by 8 percent and picked up 40+ house seats.


Rasmussen and Trafalgar are the fox news of polling.

 
nick2020 2020-10-28 19:03:59 

In reply to JayMor

Sudden is well aware of the nature of that poll.

Sudden is careful to only speak on matters he understands. So he stays quiet on marriage and exercise. lol

 
JayMor 2020-10-28 19:19:52 

In reply to nick2020

Sudden is well aware of the nature of that poll.
I know; he was, as we say in Ja, playing fool fe ketch wise. That's why I wanted it to carry on longer.

Sudden is careful to only speak on matters he understands. So he stays quiet on marriage and exercise.
Especially marriage, eh? LOL.

--Æ.

 
Commie 2020-10-29 01:43:21 

In reply to VIX

Is it time to make America faint again ?

 
problemjay 2020-10-29 11:00:52 

look how Trump bring this election to a close race with days remaining lol

 
VIX 2020-10-30 11:54:51 

In reply to VIX

Biden now 3.2% up. Smooth sailing

 
Drapsey 2020-10-30 12:07:08 

In reply to VIX

I'm still waiting to see the fallout from Tucker Carlson's (late) October Surprise.

His reportedly lost package containing damning info on Hunter Biden was recovered by UPS yesterday, but with vital item(s) missing. I wonder who could've intercepted the package and removed part of the contents.

 
Walco 2020-10-30 12:23:12 

In reply to Commie

Commie, is that you? Good to see you posting my friend. You have been conspicuously absent during this election cycle. What say you about the results of the November 3 election? What are the big data people telling you behind the scenes?

 
Walco 2020-10-30 12:25:41 

Only in America can someone be down on average nine points in national polls and people are talking about a close election smile insanity I say ...

 
camos 2020-10-30 12:29:10 

In reply to Drapsey

His reportedly lost package containing damning info on Hunter Biden was recovered by UPS yesterday, but with vital item(s) missing


amazing eh! guys had life changing information and no one duplicated it.
lol

 
nick2020 2020-10-30 12:34:28 

In reply to Walco

Commie wants America to sink and Trump is the path for such sinkage.

 
nick2020 2020-10-30 12:39:22 

In reply to Jamstar

The pollsters under-valued Trump supporters in 2016. If anything this cycle they are being over-valued and Trump is likely doing worse.

 
Jamstar 2020-10-30 13:55:07 

In reply to nick2020

EXACTLY

 
VIX 2020-10-30 17:36:37 

The Trafalgar Group, which was the only nonpartisan outlet in 2016 to find Trump leading in Michigan and Pennsylvania on Election Day, shows Trump with small leads in both states,
there is a hidden Trump vote that is not being accounted for in polls
“There are more [shy Trump voters] than last time and it’s not even a contest,” Cahaly said, adding that it’s “quite possible” that the polling industry is headed for a catastrophic miss in 2020.

 
sudden 2020-10-30 17:39:24 

In reply to VIX

what is your source? cnn?

 
VIX 2020-10-30 17:46:43 

In reply to sudden

sauce

 
nitro 2020-10-30 19:39:02 

In reply to VIX

HeHeHe

 
Jamstar 2020-10-30 19:46:15 

In reply to VIX

I know you don't understand this but let me help you out.

Rasmussen and Trafalgar along with a couple other polling agencies believe their is a large section of the population that will vote for Trump but they are too embarrassed to admit it.

So what they do is over sample boisterous republican voters to make up for the shy Trump voters.

Now if you understood polls you would understand this is not a representative group.

Thats why in 2018 when most polls had dems ahead 7-9 points in the generic polls and picking up between 20-30 seats Rasmussen had republicans up 1 point and picking up dem seats.

In the end dems won by 8 points and picked up 40+ congressional seats.


Rasmussen and Trafalgar are over sampling for a group that may or may not exist and that may or may not have changed their mindd since 2016.

At some point you must realise a poll that has republicans winning the youth vote by double digits and winning half of the black vote is not credible.

 
Walco 2020-10-30 19:52:23 

In reply to Jamstar

lol VIX and nitro are trolls ...

 
Drapsey 2020-10-31 19:29:21 


Still no update from Tucker Carlson on the contents of his package returned to him by UPS.

Said package reportedly contained damning info on Hunder Biden, and by extension, on Sleepy Joe.

Is Tucker waiting for a Monday night release of said info?

Actually, here is an update...

"Someone's reading our texts": Tucker Carlson, UPS and the non-stolen Biden documents

Fox News personality Tucker Swanson McNear Carlson is being widely mocked after regaling viewers of his top-rated cable news program on Wednesday with a bizarre, evidence-free tale of deep state-style espionage directed against him by unknown forces who allegedly stole a sheaf of top-secret documents with "damning" information about the Biden family, as it was in transit to him via UPS.

Carlson can now rest assured: On Thursday morning a UPS spokesperson reported that the company had found the missing contents.

 
sudden 2020-10-31 19:37:57 

In reply to Drapsey
it is a dud

Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who has speculated for the last month about alleged corruption surrounding the overseas business dealings of Hunter Biden, insisted on Thursday evening that he didn’t want to be involved in “pounding on a man, jumping on and piling on when he’s already down.”

This change in Carlson’s rhetoric comes after the conservative pundit claimed on Wednesday that Fox News had acquired a number of “damning” documents about Joe Biden’s son from a source, only to have the material allegedly disappear when it was shipped cross-country.

 
Drapsey 2020-10-31 19:46:00 

In reply to sudden

Served Tucker right.

How could he depend on someone like BeatDBalls (his biggest and most vocal admirer) to accompany a package of such importance on a cross country journey?

Ok, I'm willing to cut Tucker some slack in this dud of a story. He found himself unprepared for his show after travelling cross-country to LA, and just had to come up with something.

 
VIX 2020-10-31 21:07:33 

In reply to Drapsey

the substantial swathe of murcans that believe everything that Trump and Tucker Carlsen et al says couldn't care less about rational discourse.

They don't care.

They DON"T CARE!

What Trump and his cronies sez is gospel!

Trump sez covid is gone, dem come out without masks. big grin

#murFACTINGca

 
Commie 2020-11-01 10:34:41 

I wonder happens if this goes all the way to the Supreme Court smile

American exceptionalism on display.

 
Runs 2020-11-01 10:56:38 

In reply to Jamstar

Do not bother with Mr Clueless he chimes in to show his ignorance about US politics lol