...in battleground states.
Biden has this covered!!
he's up a MAGA, I mean mega 3.8%
Uuuuge difference.
Bigly!
#murca- where someone as despicable as Trump was not only elected president, but still has a chance at reelection!!
Message Board Archives
Six days to election, Clinton was up 2.1%
In reply to VIX
The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
On the last Wednesday before Election Day in 2016, Trump and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton were tied at 44% apiece in Rasmussen Reports daily White House Watch.
that is the right poll there
In reply to sudden
past performance does not guarantee future results
In reply to ray
In reply to VIX
correct is right
In reply to VIX
As someone who claims to be an expert investor, you should know that past performance does not guarantee future returns!
BTW ray, I didnt see your post before posting!
In reply to StumpCam
I'm an experienced investor, not expert.
In reply to VIX
tell the man you always look at the upside
In reply to sudden
I look at realistic gains 4 years down the road - not 4 days, as failed investors do
not to mention the clueless who come here and bawl DOW down every so often
In reply to sudden
Rasmussen is a heavily republican leaning poll.
In reply to Jamstar
Cho, man! Sudden is having a ball. Let the thread flow, please.
--Æ.
In reply to VIX
A few things here.
If Biden outperforms Hillary in the battleground states by 1.6%. He wins the rust belt and takes Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin and holds the Hillary states to win the election. You can chuck Floridain in as well with Arizona and North Carolina being very very close if Biden wins these 3 he is up to a Obama 2012 type of win. People get lost in the Trump talking points about electoral college landslide and don't even realise a half a point shift to left in the rust belt means a trump lost.
Undecideds broke heavily for Trump 4 years ago when the Comey letters dramatically changed the game ( which is why republicans are pushing Hunter Biden so hard). There are not as many undecideds as 4 years ago and the Hunter Biden stuff is not picking up as much traction as the republicans would want.
Though Hillary lead in the polls she was rarely over 50% while Biden is consistently hitting that number and has I have said already if there are 100 pieces of silver and I have 51 pieces it is impossible for you to have more than I do.
Finally the polls were adjusted after 2016 and are probably more right leaning than the actual reality on the ground, it is far more likely Biden's numbers are being under reported than Trump's after all if the pollesters are wrong to left once more then then are out of a job.
The dynamics of this election are far different than in 2016.
In reply to Jamstar
Facts do kinda matter, in 2018 Rasmussen had republicans ahead by 1 percent in generic poll while most pollesters had it a Democratic advantage of between 7 and 9 percent.
Rasmussen was banned about by the Don himself and Republicans were super bullish on their polls because it had them picking up house seats.
In the end Dems won nationally by 8 percent and picked up 40+ house seats.
Rasmussen and Trafalgar are the fox news of polling.
In reply to JayMor
Sudden is well aware of the nature of that poll.
Sudden is careful to only speak on matters he understands. So he stays quiet on marriage and exercise.
In reply to nick2020
--Æ.
In reply to VIX
Is it time to make America faint again ?
look how Trump bring this election to a close race with days remaining
In reply to VIX
Biden now 3.2% up. Smooth sailing
In reply to VIX
I'm still waiting to see the fallout from Tucker Carlson's (late) October Surprise.
His reportedly lost package containing damning info on Hunter Biden was recovered by UPS yesterday, but with vital item(s) missing. I wonder who could've intercepted the package and removed part of the contents.
In reply to Commie
Commie, is that you? Good to see you posting my friend. You have been conspicuously absent during this election cycle. What say you about the results of the November 3 election? What are the big data people telling you behind the scenes?
Only in America can someone be down on average nine points in national polls and people are talking about a close election insanity I say ...
In reply to Drapsey
amazing eh! guys had life changing information and no one duplicated it.
In reply to Walco
Commie wants America to sink and Trump is the path for such sinkage.
In reply to Jamstar
The pollsters under-valued Trump supporters in 2016. If anything this cycle they are being over-valued and Trump is likely doing worse.
In reply to nick2020
EXACTLY
In reply to VIX
what is your source? cnn?
In reply to sudden
sauce
In reply to VIX
HeHeHe
In reply to VIX
I know you don't understand this but let me help you out.
Rasmussen and Trafalgar along with a couple other polling agencies believe their is a large section of the population that will vote for Trump but they are too embarrassed to admit it.
So what they do is over sample boisterous republican voters to make up for the shy Trump voters.
Now if you understood polls you would understand this is not a representative group.
Thats why in 2018 when most polls had dems ahead 7-9 points in the generic polls and picking up between 20-30 seats Rasmussen had republicans up 1 point and picking up dem seats.
In the end dems won by 8 points and picked up 40+ congressional seats.
Rasmussen and Trafalgar are over sampling for a group that may or may not exist and that may or may not have changed their mindd since 2016.
At some point you must realise a poll that has republicans winning the youth vote by double digits and winning half of the black vote is not credible.
In reply to Jamstar
VIX and nitro are trolls ...
Still no update from Tucker Carlson on the contents of his package returned to him by UPS.
Said package reportedly contained damning info on Hunder Biden, and by extension, on Sleepy Joe.
Is Tucker waiting for a Monday night release of said info?
Actually, here is an update...
"Someone's reading our texts": Tucker Carlson, UPS and the non-stolen Biden documents
Carlson can now rest assured: On Thursday morning a UPS spokesperson reported that the company had found the missing contents.
In reply to Drapsey
it is a dud
This change in Carlsons rhetoric comes after the conservative pundit claimed on Wednesday that Fox News had acquired a number of damning documents about Joe Bidens son from a source, only to have the material allegedly disappear when it was shipped cross-country.
In reply to sudden
Served Tucker right.
How could he depend on someone like BeatDBalls (his biggest and most vocal admirer) to accompany a package of such importance on a cross country journey?
Ok, I'm willing to cut Tucker some slack in this dud of a story. He found himself unprepared for his show after travelling cross-country to LA, and just had to come up with something.
In reply to Drapsey
the substantial swathe of murcans that believe everything that Trump and Tucker Carlsen et al says couldn't care less about rational discourse.
They don't care.
They DON"T CARE!
What Trump and his cronies sez is gospel!
Trump sez covid is gone, dem come out without masks.
#murFACTINGca
I wonder happens if this goes all the way to the Supreme Court
American exceptionalism on display.
In reply to Jamstar
Do not bother with Mr Clueless he chimes in to show his ignorance about US politics
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