On current data, Trump requires a miracle.

If devils can create miracles, then Trump better start collecting his potions to brew his concoction to quench the thirst of his cultists.

The Repubs needed a sea change in the composition of the electorate if compared to 2020 data. This is not happening.

There is absolutely no evidence of any data which points to a glimmer of hope for him. If anything one can conclusively point to a regression on TargetSmart (I gave you this website to do your own analysis earlier...check for yourself using actual polling data).

Perhaps, the cultists here can point me to any current "good news " election voting data that I have missed which favours Trump. I see none...not even an inkling. Thanks is advance.

Polling averages using betting market polls (cultists only claim to fame) are useless now that voting has begun and eveyone has access to live data on what is happening on the ground.

It appears that Trump's only recourse is through the backdoor and even there the "Lady President" has this covered.

The enthusiasm and motivation are definitely with the "Lady President." Women voters have already put the fuel in their kilns. On this ocassion, "the snake will not be scorched.'

Trump may wish to start his new January 06 now. The devil is the only option now for the convicted rapist and criminal.

But the devil does not deal with bankrupt billionaires.

Indeed!

In reply to Courtesy

We shall see

So far the media is predicting doom and gloom

In reply to sudden

Yep. The usual cyclic shenanigans. It's all about their bottom line.

On two counts: Firstly on election night they need maximim viewership to make the most of advert rates.

And secondly, main media is controlled by bllionaires who stand to benefit from Trump's tax cuts for only the rich.

When a rasmussen poll gives Harris a 1 point lead, you know it's trouble

In reply to ray

Trouble for whom?

In reply to sudden

ray is not one of the cultists.

In reply to sudden

Trouble for the Trumpians...cause Rasmussen is a right leaning poll

In reply to Courtesy

In reply to Courtesy

One of the things that gives me hope is the number of Republicans who have spoken out against Trump. Those people will be registered Republicans and will vote for Kamala.

So when the data says there are red flags when looking at the party affiliation of the voter maybe that is misleading.

Well hopefully.

I am hoping that one thing pollsters are missing in the high early voting Repub turnout is that many of the Repub women are voting Dem

In reply to nick2020



I am trying to make this as nonesoteric as possible using current data for the swing states.
There are three (3) major determinants to electoral success in all elections:

* The womens' vote
* The mens' vote
* The independent vote.
The current trend favours VP Kamala winning the womens' cohort overwhelmingly.
Trump is winning this mens' segment of the vote with a useful margin.
.................

In order for Trump to win he has to change the landscape of the independent voters significantly over 2020 numbers. The current trend suggests otherwise. But more importantly, Trump has lil' room to manoeuvre to persuade independent voters to vote for him, and to do so within the confines of one week.
The only outlier in the swing states is Nevada and even there it is trending in favour, albeit slowly, for the VP.

....................

Cultists please feel free to make public your arguments in support of a Trump win (please don't quote polling averages in particular from financial betting sites). You may also wish to recommend a winning strategy for Trump.

In reply to Courtesy

I saw a piece wherein it was argued that Cali, NY and Illinois were in play for Trump albeit with slight margins. What a load of bunk!!!

In reply to sudden

There is value to this "load of bunk" it is: we were winning all along, why did we lose?

The new January 06 is born...

In reply to Courtesy

Surely they don’t think that could work now

It didn’t the first time around

In reply to sudden

They are confident that it will work. They have done the trial run and they have no other choice but to institute mayhem on the USA.

In reply to Courtesy

I am sure the Dems, capitol police and federal agents are well prepared

In reply to sudden

The VP says the Dems are ready...

Trump knows the Dems will not violate the Posse Comitatus Act. So the risk to the cultists is minimal.

In reply to Courtesy

One would think, once bitten twice shy

In reply to Courtesy

Well maybe his miracle is all the surrogates that putting themselves in a position to cheat, while blaming the opposition for cheating.

In reply to carl0002

Kamala will win acrolss the board by perhaps 2 million votes but the rub as always is the
Electoral College , bastion of minority rule. It is dicey ..and the sad thing is if there is a tie, she would still lose as the GOP
controls more States and they would be the decider in such a case.

She needs to win those battleground States and especially Pennsylvania to claim at least 275 votes.
I don't believe the Polls about a close election,but one never knows. With Musk involved, vote buying could be
be more pervasive than we think and nothing ANY American loves more of, but Greenbacks.It has no loyalty.
But still I hope for a huge win numerically and by the College.

In reply to Courtesy

I saw a polls this morning where Harris is leading Trump by 74 % among black men. The narrative of black men migrating to the Republicans in a meaningful way is proving to be fiction as usual.

In reply to Walco

The GOP's own SLF internal polling spells doom for Trump.

Newsweek advances that VP Harris is as strong as Obama in 2008.

Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico!!