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Holy Crap: Harris up by 3 in Iowa!!!!
2024-11-02 23:21:31
2024-11-03 00:06:26
In reply to FanAttick
She is going to win
2024-11-03 00:15:49
In reply to Chrissy
In my view it should be a case of anyone, but Trump !
2024-11-03 00:42:20
Just saw that...but there was also an Emerson that had Trump up by 10, but the poll that has Harris up by 3 has been historically accurate. Keep in mind Emerson also used only land lines to conduct poll
2024-11-03 00:58:23
In reply to cricketmad
Indeed. But nuff women hating racists support him.
2024-11-03 10:34:56
In reply to Chrissy
Sweet Potato Hitler
Han Solo endorses Kamala Harris!
2024-11-03 12:51:52
In reply to ray
The Des Moines Register is the gold standard of polling in Iowa
2024-11-03 12:53:09
In reply to Walco
Are you saying Trump could lose Iowa?
2024-11-03 13:08:02
In reply to sudden
Yes, if the Des Moines Register polls says Trump is trailing Harris, he could lose Iowa.
2024-11-03 13:30:17
In reply to Walco
Any thoughts about how Florida may go?
2024-11-03 15:17:55
In reply to FanAttick
Trump and his MAGA cult will learn a big and lasting lesson.
Don't get women folks mad or united on any issue.
Women of voting age are mad as hell throughout America and the Harris campaign has been
working wonderfully with them on the Women's issue of Abortion etc.
Some of us men,know that reality...tick them off to their hurt and ...
no food, on table or on the linen.
Looks like the women's united is putting the CON in the dog house on Tuesday the 5th
prior to him heading to marlboro Country, prison, on his LOVE day, the 6th.
2024-11-03 15:31:50
In reply to sudden
Any thoughts about how Florida may go?
Can we get rid of Rick Scott while Orange is getting his jumpsuit?
2024-11-03 15:35:39
In reply to googley
I would be so happy if either Texas or Florida is flipped BLUE including the down ballots.
The former is very tough but I think Florida is the better bet.
The ideal would be both but I am a realist .
2024-11-03 18:25:42
Two things:
(1) Ann Zelzer has gotten 86% of her polling correct since 2012.
(2) The 86 % of the times that she is correct with her polling she is slighly on the low side.
USAwide, this portends bad news for Trump and blowout is in the making.
..............................
Cultists can take heart in the fact that she has been wrong before.
2024-11-03 18:37:26
In reply to googley
Can we get rid of Rick Scott while Orange is getting his jumpsuit?
i second that motion
2024-11-04 02:01:48
In reply to sudden
Harris winning Florida is possible because of the ballot initiatives to incorporate the protections of Roe v Wade into the Florida Constitution and legalize recreational marijuana.
Trump finally pay the price for the Dobbs decision on November 5.
2024-11-04 07:19:31
In reply to FanAttick
This one poll flies in the face of all logic and others polls - an outlier.
We don't have many days to find out.
But I understand the desperation
2024-11-04 11:28:58
In reply to Courtesy
(1) Ann Zelzer has gotten 86% of her polling correct since 2012.
Is this her presidential polling only or her overall polling?
2024-11-04 11:33:45
In reply to Walco
In a sample size of elections since 2012. She has gotten Presidential and Senate Races in Iowa wrong once.
2024-11-04 11:46:11
In reply to Courtesy
Thanks. I just heard that she got the Kerry v Bush race wrong in 2004.
Interestingly, 7% of the respondents in her poll refused to say who they voted for. So it's 47% Harris, 44% Trump, 2% undecided, and 7% None of Your Business (Trump?).
CORRECTION
THE 7% covers more than the none of your business crowd. It also includes people who will vote for RFK jr and Jill Stein, among others.
2024-11-04 11:52:32
In reply to Walco
Yes she did. It was during her infancy years in the polling business. She uses a very simple methodology and her polls are forward looking. She does not use past elections in her modelling.
2024-11-04 12:05:30
In reply to Walco
...None of Your Business (Trump?)
If I am to put my own spin on it:
(1) There is a possibility of retribution if you say you voted or will vote for Kamala.
(2) The overwhelming migration to Dems because of the Dobbs decision.
(3) "None of your business" is how VP Harris appeals to women voters on the abortion issue during the campaign. So it's quite possibly a cryptic message.
2024-11-04 12:26:08
In reply to Courtesy
That's an interesting take. We have gone from the secret Trump voter to the secret Harris voter.
2024-11-04 12:32:17
In reply to Walco
I am reading for a Phd in my job.
2024-11-04 13:20:17
Anyone here ever been polled, or know anyone who has?
No one I know has ever known…directly or indirectly…a single person who has been contacted by a pollster.
2024-11-04 13:38:36
In reply to Da-Vincy
What do you think the chances of being contacted by a pollster? Let's take Iowa by way of an example. The crude sample size is just slightly over one thousand and a cleansed sample of 880 voters?
All you need to know to answer this is the voting polpulation of Iowa...give it a try.
2024-11-04 14:10:06
In reply to Da-Vincy
Anyone here ever been polled, or know anyone who has?
No one I know has ever known…directly or indirectly…a single person who has been contacted by a pollster.
No one I know has ever known…directly or indirectly…a single person who has been contacted by a pollster.
I get calls daily through out the day nonstop, but thanks to Apple IPhone silencing “unknown” calls, I do not have to answer!
2024-11-06 12:34:30
In reply to FanAttick
The best pollster in the USA
Blue Wave Alert!!!!!1
Blue Wave Alert!!!!!1
What is up with all your premature posts? Can't you wait to the end?
2024-11-12 18:19:29
Ha. so much for DE Bestest Pollster in De Wurl
2024-11-13 13:44:17
In reply to WI_cricfan
Anna Selzer need some Alma Seltzer
2024-11-13 14:02:18
In reply to nickoutr
and to think a PRONOUN said this:
I am reading for a Phd in my job.
2024-11-18 13:20:18
New York CNN — Famed pollster J. Ann Selzer will end her election polling operation after her final survey for The Des Moines Register failed to accurately capture former President Donald Trump’s strong support in the 2024 election, resulting in a 16-point miss.
2024-11-18 14:28:02
In reply to VIX
That is a nice way of saying she got FIRED
2024-12-18 17:29:43
what a grate kuntry:
New York CNN — President-elect Donald Trump is escalating his legal campaign against media outlets by suing renowned pollster J. Ann Selzer, her polling firm, The Des Moines Register newspaper and its parent company Gannett.
Unlike many of Trump’s legal actions against the press, which often allege defamation, this case alleges violations of the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act, which prohibits deception when advertising or selling merchandise.
Unlike many of Trump’s legal actions against the press, which often allege defamation, this case alleges violations of the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act, which prohibits deception when advertising or selling merchandise.
2024-12-18 23:52:32
In reply to WI_cricfan
one thing is certain about this poll ... she had all the sheeple on this MB bowling leg breaks
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