The Independent Voice of West Indies Cricket

How was MSM so wrong?

Master_Blaster 11/7/24, 6:31:41 PM
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debut: 4/5/05
7,669 runs

How did MSM get it so wrong? Calling it close or for Kamala.

Meanwhile the betting markets, Trump trades and X polls were showing win, and in many cases a clean sweep for Trump.
googley 11/7/24, 6:46:56 PM
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debut: 2/9/04
23,362 runs

In reply to Master_Blaster

Calling it close


Current results show

51% Trump
48% Kamala

Thats within the margin of error. I say it was close.
Master_Blaster 11/7/24, 6:53:23 PM
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debut: 4/5/05
7,669 runs

In reply to googley

300+ electoral votes, Senate, possibly the House, popular votes.

Perspective matters...
KTom 11/7/24, 10:43:45 PM
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debut: 7/22/22
937 runs

In reply to Master_Blaster

The point to understand is not that polling is a statistical art not an exact science. How can a poll of just a few hundred people accurately predict the voting intentions of tens of million of people? It relies on the poll sample to be random/unbiased/representative - but these are abstract not physical concepts. How do you test/measure abstractions?
johndom90 11/7/24, 10:58:40 PM
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debut: 4/7/05
6,886 runs

In reply to Master_Blaster

How did MSM get it so wrong?


you got to be kidding ....

MSM????????