debut: 2/16/17
39,093 runs
Down to the wire
PNM leading in Tobago; UNC ahead in key Trinidad marginals
The April 28 General Election is still too close to call and is going down to the wire.However, based on the just-released results of a Guardian Media-commissioned public opinion poll, the main opposition, the United National Congress (UNC), currently has the statistical edge over the incumbent People’s National Movement (PNM) in key marginal seats in Trinidad, while the PNM is leading in Tobago.In the last election on August 10, 2020, the two Tobago seats were won by the PNM, while the UNC captured six of the swing seats and the PNM five.
When asked who they find to be more believable, the majority of respondents in Trinidad (47 per cent) chose the UNC’s Kamla Persad-Bissessar, who is leading a Coalition of Interests into the election, over Young, who polled 31 per cent support.The same respondents also said they found Persad-Bissessar (48 per cent) is better for the economy than Young (32 per cent), with Gary Griffith, of the National Transformation Alliance (NTA), and Mickela Panday, of the Patriotic Front (PF), each garnering two per cent support on handling the economy.This compares to 47 per cent favourability for Young in Tobago, where he is seen as more believable than THA Chief Secretary Farley Augustine (36 per cent support) and Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) leader Watson Duke (1 per cent), based on the survey conducted there among 530 respondents.
In Trinidad, when asked if the General Election were held tomorrow, which party they would vote for, 45 per cent of swing-seat respondents said the UNC coalition and 30 per cent, the PNM.With the election now a mere week away and a total of 17 political parties in the race for control of the 41 seats in the Red House, it is expected that the outcome will be significantly impacted by vote splitting.“As regards which of the two major parties they are hurting more, it is difficult to tell. If it is the UNC coalition, then that would mean that they would have to make further inroads into the UNC coalition to hurt their chances.“If, however, they are hurting the PNM as part of an anti-UNC vote, then the UNC will be the prime beneficiary of such a vote split.“How the actual vote splitting will play out in any of these marginal constituencies cannot be predicted, but any close finishes could be the result of vote splitting one way or another.”
PNM leading in Tobago; UNC ahead in key Trinidad marginals
The April 28 General Election is still too close to call and is going down to the wire.However, based on the just-released results of a Guardian Media-commissioned public opinion poll, the main opposition, the United National Congress (UNC), currently has the statistical edge over the incumbent People’s National Movement (PNM) in key marginal seats in Trinidad, while the PNM is leading in Tobago.In the last election on August 10, 2020, the two Tobago seats were won by the PNM, while the UNC captured six of the swing seats and the PNM five.
When asked who they find to be more believable, the majority of respondents in Trinidad (47 per cent) chose the UNC’s Kamla Persad-Bissessar, who is leading a Coalition of Interests into the election, over Young, who polled 31 per cent support.The same respondents also said they found Persad-Bissessar (48 per cent) is better for the economy than Young (32 per cent), with Gary Griffith, of the National Transformation Alliance (NTA), and Mickela Panday, of the Patriotic Front (PF), each garnering two per cent support on handling the economy.This compares to 47 per cent favourability for Young in Tobago, where he is seen as more believable than THA Chief Secretary Farley Augustine (36 per cent support) and Progressive Democratic Patriots (PDP) leader Watson Duke (1 per cent), based on the survey conducted there among 530 respondents.
In Trinidad, when asked if the General Election were held tomorrow, which party they would vote for, 45 per cent of swing-seat respondents said the UNC coalition and 30 per cent, the PNM.With the election now a mere week away and a total of 17 political parties in the race for control of the 41 seats in the Red House, it is expected that the outcome will be significantly impacted by vote splitting.“As regards which of the two major parties they are hurting more, it is difficult to tell. If it is the UNC coalition, then that would mean that they would have to make further inroads into the UNC coalition to hurt their chances.“If, however, they are hurting the PNM as part of an anti-UNC vote, then the UNC will be the prime beneficiary of such a vote split.“How the actual vote splitting will play out in any of these marginal constituencies cannot be predicted, but any close finishes could be the result of vote splitting one way or another.”