If devils can create miracles, then Trump better start collecting his potions to brew his concoction to quench the thirst of his cultists.
The Repubs needed a sea change in the composition of the electorate if compared to 2020 data. This is not happening.
There is absolutely no evidence of any data which points to a glimmer of hope for him. If anything one can conclusively point to a regression on TargetSmart (I gave you this website to do your own analysis earlier...check for yourself using actual polling data).
Perhaps, the cultists here can point me to any current "good news " election voting data that I have missed which favours Trump. I see none...not even an inkling. Thanks is advance.
Polling averages using betting market polls (cultists only claim to fame) are useless now that voting has begun and eveyone has access to live data on what is happening on the ground.
It appears that Trump's only recourse is through the backdoor and even there the "Lady President" has this covered.
The enthusiasm and motivation are definitely with the "Lady President." Women voters have already put the fuel in their kilns. On this ocassion, "the snake will not be scorched.'
Trump may wish to start his new January 06 now. The devil is the only option now for the convicted rapist and criminal.
But the devil does not deal with bankrupt billionaires.
Message Board Archives
On current data, Trump requires a miracle.
Indeed!
In reply to Courtesy
We shall see
So far the media is predicting doom and gloom
In reply to sudden
Yep. The usual cyclic shenanigans. It's all about their bottom line.
On two counts: Firstly on election night they need maximim viewership to make the most of advert rates.
And secondly, main media is controlled by bllionaires who stand to benefit from Trump's tax cuts for only the rich.
When a rasmussen poll gives Harris a 1 point lead, you know it's trouble
In reply to ray
Trouble for whom?
In reply to sudden
ray is not one of the cultists.
In reply to sudden
Trouble for the Trumpians...cause Rasmussen is a right leaning poll
In reply to Courtesy
In reply to Courtesy
One of the things that gives me hope is the number of Republicans who have spoken out against Trump. Those people will be registered Republicans and will vote for Kamala.
So when the data says there are red flags when looking at the party affiliation of the voter maybe that is misleading.
Well hopefully.
I am hoping that one thing pollsters are missing in the high early voting Repub turnout is that many of the Repub women are voting Dem
In reply to nick2020
I am trying to make this as nonesoteric as possible using current data for the swing states.
There are three (3) major determinants to electoral success in all elections:
* The womens' vote
* The mens' vote
* The independent vote.
The current trend favours VP Kamala winning the womens' cohort overwhelmingly.
Trump is winning this mens' segment of the vote with a useful margin.
.................
In order for Trump to win he has to change the landscape of the independent voters significantly over 2020 numbers. The current trend suggests otherwise. But more importantly, Trump has lil' room to manoeuvre to persuade independent voters to vote for him, and to do so within the confines of one week.
The only outlier in the swing states is Nevada and even there it is trending in favour, albeit slowly, for the VP.
....................
Cultists please feel free to make public your arguments in support of a Trump win (please don't quote polling averages in particular from financial betting sites). You may also wish to recommend a winning strategy for Trump.
In reply to Courtesy
I saw a piece wherein it was argued that Cali, NY and Illinois were in play for Trump albeit with slight margins. What a load of bunk!!!
In reply to sudden
There is value to this "load of bunk" it is: we were winning all along, why did we lose?
The new January 06 is born...
In reply to Courtesy
Surely they don’t think that could work now
It didn’t the first time around
In reply to sudden
They are confident that it will work. They have done the trial run and they have no other choice but to institute mayhem on the USA.
In reply to Courtesy
I am sure the Dems, capitol police and federal agents are well prepared
In reply to sudden
The VP says the Dems are ready...
Trump knows the Dems will not violate the Posse Comitatus Act. So the risk to the cultists is minimal.
In reply to Courtesy
One would think, once bitten twice shy
In reply to Courtesy
Well maybe his miracle is all the surrogates that putting themselves in a position to cheat, while blaming the opposition for cheating.
In reply to carl0002
Kamala will win acrolss the board by perhaps 2 million votes but the rub as always is the
Electoral College , bastion of minority rule. It is dicey ..and the sad thing is if there is a tie, she would still lose as the GOP
controls more States and they would be the decider in such a case.
She needs to win those battleground States and especially Pennsylvania to claim at least 275 votes.
I don't believe the Polls about a close election,but one never knows. With Musk involved, vote buying could be
be more pervasive than we think and nothing ANY American loves more of, but Greenbacks.It has no loyalty.
But still I hope for a huge win numerically and by the College.
In reply to Courtesy
I saw a polls this morning where Harris is leading Trump by 74 % among black men. The narrative of black men migrating to the Republicans in a meaningful way is proving to be fiction as usual.
In reply to Walco
The GOP's own SLF internal polling spells doom for Trump.
Newsweek advances that VP Harris is as strong as Obama in 2008.
Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico!!
In reply to Courtesy
But they dare not tell Trump the truth for fear of his wrath. Natural instinct and delusion "trump" data in MAGA world.
That's a bridge too far for me. Obama swept into the Whitehouse on the heels of the financial crisis and the Dems had 60 seats in the US Senate before Ted Kennedy died.
In reply to Walco
I think Kamala "may" have it. Factors to consider
Dems need .ore than 80% black male vote to win, especially if they lose more than 15% Muslim and Hispanic Male votes than last time.
Trump has to turn out tens if millions of new voters including young men. Believe it or not Trump still believes the house speaker can refuse to complete the certification process
In reply to ray
You sure you were looking at the Rasmussen Reports and not the Rass Reports?
In reply to DukeStreet
Hmmm, Kamala is currently ahead of Biden #'s for Black and Hispanic male support.
In reply to DukeStreet
Man, yuh rass!
In reply to DukeStreet
Hey dickhead, I made my post on Oct 27
In reply to Brerzerk
Kamala will win on November 5, but it will not be as big a win as Obama 2008.
In reply to ray
And dummy, the next day, the polls said something else! What a rass, eh?
In reply to Walco
Even though I'm sitting out not voting, I can see Kamala winning.
In reply to DukeStreet
Wuh loss, muh belly!!!!
In reply to DukeStreet
It's the next day...right, imbecile
In reply to ray
I'm setting the facts straight for you as it pertains to up to date info. Something you're not quite versed in. 
In reply to DukeStreet
And today is 29th..., and tomorrow the 30th
What's your point?
You can set all the facts you want, I made my post on the 27th...
In reply to Brerzerk
And the speaker of the house seem to think so too, so don't blame Trump alone.
You sheeple are pathetic
Trump has earned a permanent rest.
Good riddance.
The closing messages contrast:
Trump: "I tried to lift weights for almost a week."
VP Harris: "Donald Trump has spent the greater part of a decade dividing people."
Can't wait to see the end of that orange piece of shit.
In reply to Courtesy
The Repubs needed a sea change in the composition of the electorate if compared to 2020 data. This is not happening.
There is absolutely no evidence of any data which points to a glimmer of hope for him. If anything one can conclusively point to a regression on TargetSmart (I gave you this website to do your own analysis earlier...check for yourself using actual polling data).
Perhaps, the cultists here can point me to any current "good news " election voting data that I have missed which favours Trump. I see none...not even an inkling. Thanks is advance.
Polling averages using betting market polls (cultists only claim to fame) are useless now that voting has begun and eveyone has access to live data on what is happening on the ground.
It appears that Trump's only recourse is through the backdoor and even there the "Lady President" has this covered.
Adam in the garden hiding ...hiding ..... plenty backflipping , and jumping in the wicket ...Like Lara facing Shoib Akhtar
It looks like a nation of cultists have spoken....
Am almost sorry for my CC comrades or ...capitalistas....
In reply to nickoutr
And bitter
Bump!
Confirmation bias is a helluva drug!
In reply to VIX
Poor you to single me out in a world of paid pollsters who got in wrong. Have you called off the truce?
In reply to Courtesy
What was the argument that required a truce?
Who called a truce? And for what reason?
I dunno, I'm just asking. I must have missed it.
In reply to VIX
Why have you singled me out in an ocean of persons who got it wrong using data from reputable pollsters?
Please stay on this discussion.
In reply to Courtesy
Well you called me out directly here, for reasons known only to yourself.
Any unbiased person could have seen that the momentum was with Trump leading up to the election.
In reply to VIX
I see that you are humour impaired.
Dis done.
In reply to Courtesy
[quote Why have you singled me out in an ocean of persons who got it wrong using data from reputable pollsters? ][/quote]
From my perspective and in CC, you reminded me of blacks ...during Covid . Every day Blacks would post 3,4,5 threads on the vaxxed/ unvaxxed.
Thread after thread on take one for grandma, wear masks, social distance , no blood clots, etc etc, on an on. ( not anymore. I wonder why?)
You chose to relentlessly drive home your opinions on the cultists, Trumpeters , Kamala.... don't get me wrong , as is your right .
You are a braver man than me to so openly hang your hat in the hot wind of politics.
It is comical to see democrats continue to whine and harangue among themselves ....classic denial symptoms.
Popular vote, House, senate, all swing states.... todos....does this not speak to facts?
No need for electoral college suspense.
Dis did done done done.
In reply to johndom90
This is his/her/it only platform. Give him/her/it a break
In reply to VIX
Do I have to tell you that you are being dishonest making this statement above.
Do "unbiased persons" include reputable pollsters who have got it more right than wrong? Man, in the process of seeking revenge don't ensconced yourself in a cocoon of stupidity.
I just didn't realise I did so much harm to your ego.
You know, really stupid persons like yourself don't know how stupid they are.
In reply to Courtesy
Are you so stupid that you don't know what "dis done" means?
Hint: It doesn't mean "dis ent really done"
Google is your friend look up stuff you're ignorant of. It seems you have quite a bit to look up.
In any event, from from this corner, Dis is indeed done.
Gwan. Your foolishness is annoying now.
I've humored you and your ignorance long enough.
In reply to VIX
Your words above not mine...you chose to revive a thread that was dead in an attempt to extract revenge.
I've humored you and your ignorance long enough.
Is that all you have?
Never start a battle that you cannot finish...kibitzing done.
There is a village called Adelphi in Guyana ….. next time consult the oracle there before making predictions
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